THE Tropical Depression is forecast to move generally westward or west northwestward in the next 12 hours. On the forecast track, it may enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this afternoon. Once inside the PAR, the domestic name “Neneng”.
The center of the Tropical Depression was estimated based on all available data at 1,400 km East of Extreme Northern Luzon (20.3°N, 135.4°E)
Intensity:
Maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 55 km/h, and central pressure of 1004 hPa
Present Movement:
North northwestward at 25 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds:
Strong winds extend outwards up to 100 km from the center
GENERAL OUTLOOK FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD
• The Tropical Depression is forecast to move generally westward or west northwestward in the next 12 hours. On the forecast track, it may enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this afternoon. Once inside the PAR, the domestic name “NENENG” will be assigned to this tropical cyclone.
Afterwards, the Tropical Depression will track west southwestward to westward beginning tomorrow through Saturday before turning west northwestward towards the Extreme Northern Luzon.
• This tropical cyclone may intensify while moving over the Philippine Sea and may reach tropical storm category by Saturday. The possibility of further intensification prior to its close approach to Extreme Northern Luzon is not ruled out.
• Per latest track and intensity forecast, there is a high likelihood that Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals will be hoisted over Batanes and several provinces in Northern Luzon. The highest possible wind signal that may be hoisted is Wind Signal No.2.
• The passage of this tropical cyclone over Extreme Northern Luzon may bring heavy rainfall over the area beginning Saturday (15 October). Furthermore, the tropical cyclone may also bring rough to very rough seas over the northern and eastern seaboards of Luzon beginning late Friday (14 October) or Saturday. Such condition may be risky for those using small seacrafts. Mariners are advised to continue monitoring for updates.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to continue monitoring for updates related to this tropical cyclone.
Unless an intermediate advisory or initial tropical cyclone bulletin is released, the next tropical cyclone advisory will be issued at 11:00 PM today.
