SEVERE Tropical Storm ‘Chedeng’ is unlikely to directly bring heavy rainfall over any portion of the country in the next 3 to 5 days.
Although the current forecast scenario for this tropical cyclone may result in the enhancement of the Southwest Monsoon, the timing and intensity of monsoon rains over the country (especially in the western portion) may still change due to the dependence of monsoon enhancement on the forecast movement and intensity of ‘Chedeng’ as well as its interaction with the other weather systems surrounding it. As such, the public is advised to continue monitoring for updates regarding the possible enhancement of the Southwest Monsoon. A Weather Advisory will be issued by Pagasa should there be an increasing chance of monsoon heavy rainfall within the next three days.
Severe Winds
The hoisting of Wind Signals in anticipation of tropical cyclone severe winds is unlikely at this time.
The enhancement of the Southwest Monsoon over the next 3 days may bring gusty conditions over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland/mountainous localities exposed to winds):
• Friday: Frequent gusts over Kalayaan Islands; intermittent to occasional wind gusts over Visayas, Romblon, Oriental Mindoro, the northern portion of Palawan including Calamian and Cuyo Islands, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, and Camiguin.
• Saturday: Frequent gusts over Romblon and Kalayaan Islands; intermittent to occasional gusts over the Visayas, CALABARZON, Bicol Region, the rest of MIMAROPA, Camiguin, and Dinagat Islands.
Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 95 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 115 km/h, and central pressure of 992 hPa
Present Movement
West northwestward at 10 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to gale-force winds extend outwards up to 350 km from the center
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
No Wind Signals hoisted at this time.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
Tropical Storm CHEDENG remains unlikely to cause rough sea condition over the coastal waters of the country in the next 24 hours.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• On the forecast track, CHEDENG will remain far from the Philippine landmass. It is forecast to move generally west northwestward or northwestward tonight through mid-Friday before beginning to slow down while turning northward. On Sunday, CHEDENG will begin to accelerate north northeastward or northeastward. On the track forecast, this tropical cyclone will leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility between late Sunday and early Monday.
• Owing to favorable environmental conditions, CHEDENG is forecast to intensify in the next 3 days and may be upgraded into a typhoon by tomorrow. Peak intensity may be reached by Friday or Saturday.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division. DOST Pagasa
