‘FALCON’ is forecast to further intensify over the next 1 or 2 days and may reach its peak intensity tomorrow or on Wednesday, said the state bureau Pagasa.
The Southwest Monsoon enhanced by Typhoon FALCON will bring occasional to monsoon rains over the western portion of Luzon and Visayas in the next three days. For more information, refer to Weather Advisory #18 for Southwest Monsoon issued at 11:00 AM today and the 24-Hour Public Weather Forecast and Outlook at 4:00 AM today.
Forecast rainfall are generally higher in elevated or mountainous areas. Under these conditions, flooding and rain-induced landslides are expected especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazard as identified in hazard maps and in localities that experienced considerable amounts of rainfall for the past several days.
Severe Winds
The hoisting of Wind Signal due to FALCON over any locality in the country remains unlikely based on the current forecast scenario. However, the enhanced Southwest Monsoon will bring gusty conditions over the following areas, especially in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds:
· Today: Zambales, Bataan, the central and southern portions of Aurora, Pampanga, Bulacan, Metro Manila, and most of Ilocos Region, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, and Western Visayas
· Tomorrow: Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Abra, Benguet, Zambales, Bataan, the central and southern portions of Aurora, Pampanga, Bulacan, Metro Manila, and most of Ilocos Region, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, and Western Visayas
· Wednesday: Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Region, Abra, Benguet, Aurora, Zambales, Bataan, Bulacan, Pampanga, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, the western portion of Northern Samar, and most of Western Visayas
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
In the next 24 hours, the Southwest Monsoon enhanced by FALCON will bring moderate to rough seas over the coastal waters along the northern (1.2 to 2.8 m), western (2.5 to 3.5 m) and southern (1.5 to 3.0 m) seaboards of Luzon. Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing over these waters. If inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels, avoid navigating in these conditions.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
Over the Philippine Sea, FALCON is forecast to slightly accelerate north northwestward or northwestward in the next 24 hours then turn west northwestward tomorrow afternoon. On the track forecast, the typhoon may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) between tomorrow afternoon and tomorrow evening. Outside the PAR region, FALCON will turn west northwestward and pass close (landfall not ruled out) over Okinawa Islands in the Ryukyu Archipelago between tomorrow evening and Wednesday morning while gradually decelerating.
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