OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David on Saturday said the daily growth rate of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Metro Manila has been decreasing steadily.
In a Twitter post, David said that Metro Manila’s COVID-19 growth rate has now decreased to three percent from five percent on Jan. 13.
“Once the daily growth rate becomes negative, new cases in the National Capital Region (NCR) are decreasing,” said David.
David added that the region’s reproduction number has also decreased to 3.22 as of Jan. 11, 2022.
Meanwhile, although the decrease in growth rate is “strong evidence” that the trend in Metro Manila is peaking, OCTA said that it is still a “subject to data backlog and reports.”
“However, if this trend is solid, we should expect between 16,000 to 18,000 new cases in NCR on Jan.15, 2022, and 15,000 to 16,000 on Jan.16, 2022, towards a consistent decrease,” David said.
